Entwicklung der Fotomärkte

[Gast_308519]

Hallo,

hier was interessantes:

http://www.sansmirror.com/newsviews/why-cp-was-so-grim.html

Canon and Nikon are the two primary DSLR makers: they must be forecasting a whopping 17.6% drop in DSLR shipments for 2013 according to CIPA's numbers. That seems to indicate to me that they don't have much in the way of new DSLR models to launch this year. As we note, above, Canon has publicly forecast an increase interchangeable lens camera shipments for 2013, so we're left with five possibilities: (1) the forecasts they gave to CIPA are wrong; (2) Canon's estimates given at their recent press conference will be revised downwards (i.e. were wrong); (3) Nikon is expecting a collapse of DSLR sales; (4) the increase in Canon's interchangeable camera volume comes from increased mirrorless camera shipments; or (5) someone's gaming the forecast system (if you make future DSLR sales look low but you're about to launch a salvo, you might goad mirrorless makers into putting more product into the market as you're about to wallop them, or you might have your next quarter numbers look like a big market share when contrasted to the forecast). Of these, I'd bet on a combo of 1, 4, and 5: they somewhat underestimated their CIPA forecasts to make their market share numbers look good early on, and they have significant mirrorless production they'll ship in 2013.

 

[Yoda]

Hallo,

Danke für die Info, doch ist so etwas im Foto-Talk (und im DSLR-Forum) falsch ausgehoben...

...forecasting...seems to indicate...publicly forecast...five possibilities...forecasts...estimates...is expecting...gaming the forecast system...if...you might...or you might...forecast...underestimated...forecasts

+

ich hoffe, dass das Thema hier richtig eingestellt ist.

Das DSLR-Forum ist ein Diskussionsforum zum Thema Fotografie und dient nicht als Plattform zur Erörterung von Voraussagen und Marktspekulationen im wirtschaftlichen Sinn.
Es ist also kein Diskussionsboard zum Thema Wirtschaft & Marktentwicklungen.

Darum wurde das Thema in den (Hardware-)Spekulationsbereich verschoben, in dem es um Equipment aber nicht um Märkte, Unternehmenszahlen, Absatz etc. geht (Info), und geschlossen.

*closed*